Posted in Baseball, Uncategorized

Rolling the dice with Chris Young

New Mets outfielder Chris Young celebrates an Oakland Athletics' victory in August (Photo credit: Keith Allison, cropped by UCinternational via Wikimedia Commons)
New Mets outfielder Chris Young celebrates an Oakland Athletics’ victory in August (Photo credit: Keith Allison, cropped by UCinternational via Wikimedia Commons)

The Mets reportedly agreed to terms with free agent outfielder Chris Young on Friday, their first major league acquisition of the off-season. ESPN reported that the deal is for one year at $7.25 million and is contingent on Young passing a physical.

I have to admit, my initial reaction was disappointment. There are plenty of things not to like about Young:

  • in 107 games for Oakland last year, he hit .200 / .280 / .379;
  • for his career, Young has struck out in 23 percent of his plate appearances
  • Young has a lifetime on base percentage of .315 and a lifetime batting average of .235

But further consideration, there are reasons to like the signing.

On the bright side, Young will be 30 next season and he was an All-Star in 2010 when he hit .257 / .341  / .452 with 27 home runs and 28 stolen bases. According to Baseball Reference’s calculations, Young had back-to-back seasons where he was worth 5.0 WAR or better, and he’s never been worse than the mythical “replacement level player” that the stat uses to compare value.

And getting away from numbers, it should be really fun to see Young and Juan Lagares playing next to each other in the same outfield next year.

As much as I’d like to see the Mets target players who aren’t coming off of terrible seasons, injuries, or both, the reality of their financial situation means that they have to roll the dice.

If they get lucky, Young helps the Mets win a few more games than they otherwise might have and Sandy Alderson can flip him for prospects at the trade deadline or the postseason eligibility deadline, like he did with Marlon Byrd this year.

If the Mets are unlucky, they have a player who will not hurt them all that much and who will go away at the end of the season when his contract expires.

It may not be the most exciting move, but the 2014 Mets are probably a little bit better off for it.

4 thoughts on “Rolling the dice with Chris Young

    1. Thanks in part to the new TV deal, it looks like that’s pretty close to market value. David Murphy, who is two years older and didn’t perform much better in 2013, got two years & $12 million from the Indians.


  1. If Alderson has seven mil burning a hole in his pocket, I can think of plenty of places to spend it than paying Young that kind of money.

    Though I’m curious as to what Billy Beane saw to play him over eight mil. I know Beane likes OBP and, considering his rotten BA, Young has generally had a decent on base. But seeing that Beane got rid of him, meaning there’s probably nothing of value in Young to exploit, I’m wondering why Alderson signed this guy.


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